Active Deal

Polymarket

Leading prediction market translating real-world events into real-time, market-driven probabilities.

About Company

Polymarket is the leading decentralized prediction market, enabling users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events across politics, economics, technology, culture and sports. By aggregating market-based probabilities in real time, Polymarket transforms collective information into transparent, continuously updated signals. Polymarket sits at the intersection of financial markets, information discovery and blockchain-native infrastructure. Its relevance extends beyond trading, increasingly serving media, institutions and decision-makers seeking probabilistic insight into uncertain outcomes.

Logo of polymarket, a private company invested in by Grain Ventures

Company Stats

Industry

Prediction Markets / Information Markets

Company size

~20–50 Employees

Annual Revenue

Private, not disclosed

Business Maturity

Late-stage platform with scaled user adoption

Why This Company?

Polymarket has established itself as the most credible real-time prediction market by translating collective conviction into continuously updated probabilities. Unlike polls or surveys, its markets are capital-weighted, producing signals that have repeatedly proven more accurate around high-impact global events.

The platform benefits from strong network effects, with liquidity, data quality and user engagement reinforcing one another as participation scales. As a result, Polymarket has evolved from a niche blockchain application into a widely referenced information layer across media, finance and policy-adjacent audiences.

Why Now?

Growing demand for real-time, probabilistic insight is converging with increased mainstream acceptance of prediction markets as decision-support tools. Structural shifts toward digital-native information consumption, combined with improving regulatory clarity and infrastructure maturity, are expanding Polymarket’s addressable use cases.

At this stage, the company sits at an inflection point where platform adoption, liquidity depth and external relevance are scaling simultaneously, positioning Polymarket to become a durable category leader as prediction markets move further into the mainstream.

Terms

  • Implied Valuation: $8 billion pre-money valuation
  • Share Price: TBD (company-issued)
  • Allocation: $1M
  • Structure: Dedicated SPV investing alongside select strategic investors

Timelines

  • Commitment due Monday, Jan 26th 
  • Minimum investment: $25,000
  • Management Fee: 6% (one-time, upfront)
  • Carry: 20% of profits, after return of invested capital
  • Expenses: 2% (pass through, pro rata – industry standard)

Active Deal

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